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Thread: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

  1. #1
    All-Universe bowiedawgs01's Avatar
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    Default Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    I've posted these in years past. A guy I know does this every year. He's developed an algorithm that spits these numbers out. There are no personal biases involved. I believe he states that the Power Rankings are what one should go by.

    EWP Ratings: http://www.adjustedstats.com/ratings...ewpratings.php
    Power Rankings: http://www.adjustedstats.com/ratings...sfbratings.php
    Matchup Analyzer: http://www.adjustedstats.com/ratings...sfbmatchup.php

    Just click on one of the descriptors in the last 3 columns to rank them just by that (ex: 5A, Region or District), or you can use the menus at the top under TXHSFB.
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    All-Galaxy CHill's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Good stuff Alan, I remember this from last season.
    TTHL-Protect the family

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    All-World Eagle2's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Thanks. Good Site Info BD01. Not to far off and reflection of the top teams. Something to look ahead to, however, all games must be played.

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    All-Universe bowiedawgs01's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Last year around the time of the Regional Finals, his ratings were posted by someone else. The analyzer picked Katy to win the last 3 games, but was predicting them to give up more points than most thought they would. Although the scores weren't exact, Katy did start giving up some points those last few games.

    Cy Ranch 70-21 (prediction 57-17)
    Steele 45-33 (prediction 39-24)
    Cedar Hill 35-24 (prediction 40-31)

    Katy had only given up something like 17 total points in the playoffs up till that point.
    BOWIE BULLDOGS
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    What's stands out for me just looking at the top teams...why is Coppell so high? and why would you throw a 4A team like Aledo in there? There are just not enough games between 4A and 5A teams to make that part of the formula reliable.

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    All-Universe bowiedawgs01's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Quote Originally Posted by padcrasher View Post
    What's stands out for me just looking at the top teams...why is Coppell so high? and why would you throw a 4A team like Aledo in there? There are just not enough games between 4A and 5A teams to make that part of the formula reliable.
    Since he's unable to post, I'll pass along what he replied to your concern:

    Here are the number of interconference games played this year:

    5A-4A: 209
    5A-3A: 10
    4A-3A: 169
    3A-2A: 189
    3A-1A: 6
    2A-1A: 256

    That's enough interaction in my opinion. Consider that so far there have been 761 games between two 5A teams. 671 games between 4A teams. So over 21% of all games involving a 5A team have been against a 4A team. Obviously that percentage will go down but 209 games played against 4A is sufficient for these ratings.
    BOWIE BULLDOGS
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    All-Interweb E-Vol-ution's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    I do question the SOS numbers.......rankings are better than quite a few I've seen though.
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    5A Texas Football Hall of Famer - 2007 Pick 'Em Champion Fleeman93's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Steele at 32? Either has to be the schedule or the defense. No way they are that low.
    I'll say this - our Region's D2 champion is probably the team to beat in rounds 5&6 - Good Knight

    All I can say is, while we'll be at Jerry World next year, Katy will be nowhere to be seen and won't win R3 next year. They'll suck next year and mark my words! - SCBuffKnight

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    All-Galaxy OakTreeUp-n-Out's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Lotta love for the dee eff dub.

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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Quote Originally Posted by bowiedawgs01 View Post
    Since he's unable to post, I'll pass along what he replied to your concern:
    Well thanks, that's helpful info, that's many more games than I would have guessed. But these 4A/5A matchups are likely much more common in the Austin area than they are in DFW. Aledo, Highland Park, etc. would have the hat handed to them playing the better 5A teams in this area.

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    All-Interweb BlakeJ's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Pretty silly and innacurate ranking


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    All-Interweb BlakeJ's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    It tells me

    Katy - 30
    Seven Lakes - 5

    Someone wasted alot of time putting this together.


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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    If somebody has the time they should try the matchup analyzer with this weeks pick-ems and see how many it gets right. I do not have the time or I would. It would be interesting all the same though. If you decide to do it please post the results.

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    All-Universe bowiedawgs01's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Quote Originally Posted by BlakeJ View Post
    It tells me

    Katy - 30
    Seven Lakes - 5

    Someone wasted alot of time putting this together.
    Can't predict the injury bug.
    BOWIE BULLDOGS
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    "The fear of the LORD is the beginning of wisdom." Proverbs 9:10

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    All-Universe bowiedawgs01's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr.Knowledge View Post
    If somebody has the time they should try the matchup analyzer with this weeks pick-ems and see how many it gets right. I do not have the time or I would. It would be interesting all the same though. If you decide to do it please post the results.
    Will do.
    BOWIE BULLDOGS
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    Twitter: @AlanGalbreathTX

    "The fear of the LORD is the beginning of wisdom." Proverbs 9:10

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    All-Universe wolfpack4life's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr.Knowledge View Post
    If somebody has the time they should try the matchup analyzer with this weeks pick-ems and see how many it gets right. I do not have the time or I would. It would be interesting all the same though. If you decide to do it please post the results.
    Too risky. I'm cool with my knowledge. lol


  17. #17
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    It is interesting to a degree, but very flawed as well. For instance, in team rankings having Midland Christian above Midland Lee is just absurd. Midland Christian is manned mainly by Midland Lee rejects, so there's just no way they would come close to beating Lee in a game.

  18. #18
    All-Universe bowiedawgs01's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Like I said, it's strictly computer driven. This is why the BCS has human polls as well.
    BOWIE BULLDOGS
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    Twitter: @AlanGalbreathTX

    "The fear of the LORD is the beginning of wisdom." Proverbs 9:10

  19. #19
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Is it just me or does Cedar Hill and Hebron seem exceedingly overrated

  20. #20
    All-World TrinityTrojan299's Avatar
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    Default Re: Power Rankings and Matchup Analyzer from AdjustedStats.com here in Texas

    Cool site. Fun to play with hypothetical matchups. For example, Trinity vs. Katy.

    Katy-34
    Trinity-33

    Even the computer knows how awesome a game that would be. Its obviously off a tad though

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