15-5A Playoff Picture

[PantherStang84]

There seems to be a lot of speculation about whether Lufkin will end up in D I or D II in the playoffs. Well, I just sat down and crunched the numbers and will break it down. Below is the projections based on the assumption that both Lufkin and The Woodlands secure victories against Conroe and Magnolia respectively next week.

11/04/06 Sat. Conroe wins:

Regardless of the Week 10 outcomes, District 15-5A will send the following teams to the playoffs:

DI- TWHS, Conroe
DII- Lufkin, College Park

11/04/06 Sat. Oak Ridge wins:

This is where the waters start to get muddy:

If OR beats Conroe but loses to College Park in wk. 10, there would be a 3 way tie between Conroe, OR and Magnolia for the final playoff spot. I do not know how the district determines the seeding in case of a tie.

If Oak Ridge beats both Conroe today and College Park next week, District 15-5A will send the following teams to the playoffs:

DI- Lufkin, TWHS
DII- College Park, Oak Ridge

Hope this kind of clears thing up.:eek:

[PantherStang84]

Here is an update considering the outcome of the OR/Conroe game.

Oak Ridge has to win against College Park next week or...

There will be a 3 way tie for last place in the District.

Assuming that a positive points differential is used with a +18 point cap and the above assumptions of Lufkin and TWHS winning out come true...

Conroe beat Magnolia 35-3 Conroe +18

Magnolia beat Oak Ridge 21-11 Magnolia +11

Oak Ridge beat Conroe 21-14 Oak Ridge +7

Therefore, Oak Ridge really has to beat College Park next week otherwise they would lose the tie breaker.

I just thought you Longview folks would like to know.:D

[LoboFan07]

I just thought you Longview folks would like to know.:D

Thank ya! ;)